Head to head

Mexico vs Paraguay

If they played today

Mexico at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Mexico win / draw / Paraguay win

Mexico–Paraguay

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.6%

Neutral venue

46% / 25% / 29%

Mexico win / draw / Paraguay win

Mexico–Paraguay

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.0%
0–1 7.9%

Paraguay at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Mexico win / draw / Paraguay win

Mexico–Paraguay

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Paraguay
Current Elo	2012	1901
Elo rank	12th	23rd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	1008	788
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	1777	1006
Goals against	1057	1119
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.23

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 10W 5D 6L

Goals

37–19

Mexico first

First meeting

1–0

Mexico won · 1961-10-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–2

Paraguay won · 2025-11-18 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

7–0

1966-04-24 · Friendly

Paraguay's biggest win

2–1

2025-11-18 · Friendly

Most common result

1–2

Mexico first · 3 times, last 2025-11-18

Current run

Won last 2

Paraguay · since 2022-08-31

21 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-11-18	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2022-08-31	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2019-03-26	4–2	Neutral	Friendly
2017-07-01	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
2016-05-28	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2011-03-26	3–1	Neutral	Friendly
2007-07-08	6–0	Neutral	Copa América
2007-06-05	0–1	Mexico home	Friendly
2007-03-25	2–1	Mexico home	Friendly
2006-03-29	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
2003-03-26	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
2001-07-15	0–0	Neutral	Copa América
1999-10-13	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
1999-04-28	1–2	Paraguay home	Friendly
1998-03-18	1–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1995-07-06	1–2	Neutral	Copa América
1993-06-10	3–1	Mexico home	Friendly
1986-06-07	1–1	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup
1966-04-24	7–0	Mexico home	Friendly
1961-11-05	0–0	Paraguay home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1961-10-29	1–0	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification