Head to head

Mexico vs Papua New Guinea

If they played today

Mexico at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Mexico win / draw / Papua New Guinea win

Mexico–Papua New Guinea

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.6%
2–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

79% / 14% / 6%

Mexico win / draw / Papua New Guinea win

Mexico–Papua New Guinea

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.3%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.5%

Papua New Guinea at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Mexico win / draw / Papua New Guinea win

Mexico–Papua New Guinea

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Papua New Guinea
Current Elo	2012	1443
Elo rank	12th	133rd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1553 (1989)
Matches played	1008	155
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	52W 29D 74L
Goals for	1777	336
Goals against	1057	312
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	20–0 vs American Samoa · 1987-12-15 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–10 vs Malaysia · 2023-06-20 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Papua New Guinea have never played each other.