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Head to head

Mexico vs Panama

If they played today

Mexico at home
64% / 21% / 15%
Mexico win / draw / Panama win
Mexico–Panama
  • 1–0 11.7%
  • 2–0 11.6%
  • 1–1 9.9%
  • 2–1 9.8%
  • 3–0 7.7%
Neutral venue
56% / 23% / 20%
Mexico win / draw / Panama win
Mexico–Panama
  • 1–0 11.3%
  • 1–1 11.0%
  • 2–0 10.1%
  • 2–1 9.8%
  • 0–0 6.3%
Panama at home
48% / 25% / 27%
Mexico win / draw / Panama win
Mexico–Panama
  • 1–1 11.9%
  • 1–0 10.7%
  • 2–1 9.4%
  • 2–0 8.5%
  • 0–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 MexicoPanama
Current Elo20121770
Elo rank12th47th
Peak Elo2044 (2026)1891 (2025)
Matches played1008542
All-time record518W 231D 259L183W 133D 226L
Goals for1777679
Goals against1057826
Biggest win11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.640.01
CONCACAF Gold Cups won130
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups6.740.67

When they've met

Meetings
28
Mexico 20W 6D 2L
Goals
51–16
Mexico first
First meeting
2–2
Drawn · 1938-02-20 · Central American and Caribbean Games
Most recent
1–0
Mexico won · 2026-01-22 · Friendly
Mexico's biggest win
7–1
2000-09-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Panama's biggest win
2–1
2013-07-24 · Gold Cup
Most common result
1–0
Mexico first · 10 times, last 2026-01-22
Current run
Unbeaten in 16
Mexico · since 2013-10-11
28 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2026-01-221–0Panama homeFriendly
2025-03-232–1NeutralCONCACAF Nations League
2024-03-213–0NeutralCONCACAF Nations League
2023-07-161–0NeutralGold Cup
2023-06-181–0NeutralCONCACAF Nations League
2022-02-021–0Mexico homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-081–1Panama homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2021-06-303–0NeutralFriendly
2019-11-153–0Panama homeCONCACAF Nations League
2019-10-153–1Mexico homeCONCACAF Nations League
2017-09-011–0Mexico homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2016-11-150–0Panama homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2016-10-111–0NeutralFriendly
2015-07-222–1NeutralGold Cup
2014-10-121–0Mexico homeFriendly
2013-10-112–1Mexico homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2013-07-241–2NeutralGold Cup
2013-07-071–2NeutralGold Cup
2013-06-070–0Panama homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2009-07-091–1NeutralGold Cup
2007-09-091–0Mexico homeFriendly
2007-06-131–0NeutralGold Cup
2005-09-075–0Mexico homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2005-03-301–1Panama homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2000-09-037–1Mexico homeFIFA World Cup qualification
2000-07-161–0Panama homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1952-04-104–2NeutralPan American Championship
1938-02-202–2Panama homeCentral American and Caribbean Games