Head to head

Mexico vs Nigeria

If they played today

Mexico at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Mexico win / draw / Nigeria win

Mexico–Nigeria

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

47% / 25% / 28%

Mexico win / draw / Nigeria win

Mexico–Nigeria

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Nigeria at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Mexico win / draw / Nigeria win

Mexico–Nigeria

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Nigeria
Current Elo	2012	1883
Elo rank	12th	26th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	1008	661
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	1777	1008
Goals against	1057	662
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 3W 3D 0L

Goals

13–7

Mexico first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1995-01-13 · Confederations Cup

Most recent

2–1

Mexico won · 2022-05-28 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

2021-07-03 · Friendly

Nigeria's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Most common result

2–1

Mexico first · twice, last 2022-05-28

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Mexico · since 1995-01-13

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-05-28	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
2021-07-03	4–0	Neutral	Friendly
2013-05-31	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
2007-10-14	2–2	Mexico home	Friendly
1995-06-24	2–1	Neutral	USA Cup
1995-01-13	1–1	Neutral	Confederations Cup