Head to head

Mexico vs Nicaragua

If they played today

Mexico at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Mexico win / draw / Nicaragua win

Mexico–Nicaragua

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.4%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.5%
2–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

76% / 16% / 8%

Mexico win / draw / Nicaragua win

Mexico–Nicaragua

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.2%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Nicaragua at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Mexico win / draw / Nicaragua win

Mexico–Nicaragua

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Nicaragua
Current Elo	2012	1491
Elo rank	12th	115th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1539 (2024)
Matches played	1008	222
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	51W 27D 144L
Goals for	1777	234
Goals against	1057	534
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2021-03-27 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–10 vs Honduras · 1946-03-13 · CCCF Championship
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	13	0
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	6.74	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 2W 0D 0L

Goals

6–0

Mexico first

First meeting

4–0

Mexico won · 1967-03-06 · CONCACAF Championship

Most recent

2–0

Mexico won · 2009-07-05 · Gold Cup

Mexico's biggest win

4–0

1967-03-06 · CONCACAF Championship

Nicaragua's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Current run

Won last 2

Mexico · since 1967-03-06

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2009-07-05	2–0	Neutral	Gold Cup
1967-03-06	4–0	Neutral	CONCACAF Championship