Head to head

Mexico vs New Zealand

If they played today

Mexico at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Mexico win / draw / New Zealand win

Mexico–New Zealand

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Mexico win / draw / New Zealand win

Mexico–New Zealand

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

New Zealand at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Mexico win / draw / New Zealand win

Mexico–New Zealand

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.8%
0–1 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	New Zealand
Current Elo	2012	1689
Elo rank	12th	68th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	1008	419
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	1777	733
Goals against	1057	634
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Mexico 7W 0D 1L

Goals

21–9

Mexico first

First meeting

0–4

New Zealand won · 1980-08-20 · Friendly

Most recent

3–0

Mexico won · 2024-09-07 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

5–1

2013-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

New Zealand's biggest win

4–0

1980-08-20 · Friendly

Most common result

3–0

Mexico first · twice, last 2024-09-07

Current run

Won last 7

Mexico · since 2010-03-03

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-09-07	3–0	Neutral	Friendly
2017-06-21	2–1	Neutral	Confederations Cup
2016-10-08	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
2013-11-20	4–2	New Zealand home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-11-13	5–1	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-06-01	3–0	Neutral	Friendly
2010-03-03	2–0	Neutral	Friendly
1980-08-20	0–4	New Zealand home	Friendly