Head to head

Mexico vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Mexico at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Mexico win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mexico–New Caledonia

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.2%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

70% / 19% / 12%

Mexico win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mexico–New Caledonia

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

New Caledonia at home

62% / 21% / 16%

Mexico win / draw / New Caledonia win

Mexico–New Caledonia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	New Caledonia
Current Elo	2012	1591
Elo rank	12th	85th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	1008	265
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	1777	698
Goals against	1057	369
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and New Caledonia have never played each other.