Head to head

Mexico vs Nepal

If they played today

Mexico at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Nepal win

Mexico–Nepal

3–0 21.0%
2–0 19.0%
4–0 17.4%
5–0 11.5%
1–0 11.4%

Neutral venue

94% / 5% / 0%

Mexico win / draw / Nepal win

Mexico–Nepal

3–0 20.5%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 16.0%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 10.0%

Nepal at home

91% / 8% / 1%

Mexico win / draw / Nepal win

Mexico–Nepal

2–0 18.4%
3–0 17.9%
4–0 13.1%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Nepal
Current Elo	2012	1103
Elo rank	12th	193rd
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	1008	268
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	1777	229
Goals against	1057	602
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Nepal have never played each other.