Head to head

Mexico vs Moldova

If they played today

Mexico at home

90% / 8% / 2%

Mexico win / draw / Moldova win

Mexico–Moldova

2–0 18.2%
3–0 17.5%
4–0 12.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

86% / 11% / 3%

Mexico win / draw / Moldova win

Mexico–Moldova

2–0 16.9%
3–0 15.1%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.1%
2–1 6.3%

Moldova at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Mexico win / draw / Moldova win

Mexico–Moldova

2–0 15.5%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 8.0%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mexico	Moldova
Current Elo	2012	1319
Elo rank	12th	165th
Peak Elo	2044 (2026)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	1008	299
All-time record	518W 231D 259L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	1777	243
Goals against	1057	522
Biggest win	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.64	0.00

When they've met

Mexico and Moldova have never played each other.