Head to head

Mali vs Zambia

If they played today

Mali at home

58% / 23% / 20%

Mali win / draw / Zambia win

Mali–Zambia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 26%

Mali win / draw / Zambia win

Mali–Zambia

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.7%
0–1 7.3%

Zambia at home

41% / 26% / 32%

Mali win / draw / Zambia win

Mali–Zambia

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Zambia
Current Elo	1709	1551
Elo rank	60th	94th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	569	793
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	746	1234
Goals against	626	851
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.67	1.21

When they've met

Meetings

Mali 1W 3D 2L

Goals

5–9

Mali first

First meeting

0–4

Zambia won · 1994-04-06 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2025-12-22 · African Cup of Nations

Mali's biggest win

1–0

2022-09-23 · Friendly

Zambia's biggest win

4–0

1994-04-06 · African Cup of Nations

Most common result

1–1

Mali first · 3 times, last 2025-12-22

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Mali · since 2022-09-23

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-12-22	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2022-09-23	1–0	Mali home	Friendly
2005-06-18	1–2	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-06-19	1–1	Mali home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2002-01-10	1–1	Mali home	Friendly
1994-04-06	0–4	Neutral	African Cup of Nations