Head to head

Mali vs Wales

If they played today

Mali at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Mali win / draw / Wales win

Mali–Wales

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Neutral venue

34% / 26% / 40%

Mali win / draw / Wales win

Mali–Wales

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Wales at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Mali win / draw / Wales win

Mali–Wales

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Wales
Current Elo	1709	1743
Elo rank	60th	52nd
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	569	726
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	746	910
Goals against	626	1160
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Mali and Wales have never played each other.