Head to head

Mali vs Uganda

If they played today

Mali at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Mali win / draw / Uganda win

Mali–Uganda

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.9%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.9%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Mali win / draw / Uganda win

Mali–Uganda

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Uganda at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Mali win / draw / Uganda win

Mali–Uganda

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Uganda
Current Elo	1709	1514
Elo rank	60th	105th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	569	685
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	746	1030
Goals against	626	809
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.67	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Mali 3W 2D 0L

Goals

8–2

Mali first

First meeting

5–1

Mali won · 1965-07-20 · All-African Games

Most recent

1–0

Mali won · 2023-10-13 · Friendly

Mali's biggest win

5–1

1965-07-20 · All-African Games

Uganda's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Most common result

1–0

Mali first · twice, last 2023-10-13

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Mali · since 1965-07-20

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-10-13	1–0	Mali home	Friendly
2021-11-14	1–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-06	0–0	Uganda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2017-01-25	1–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1965-07-20	5–1	Neutral	All-African Games