Head to head

Mali vs Tonga

If they played today

Mali at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Mali win / draw / Tonga win

Mali–Tonga

2–0 17.7%
3–0 16.6%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.6%
5–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

84% / 12% / 4%

Mali win / draw / Tonga win

Mali–Tonga

2–0 16.3%
3–0 14.2%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.2%
2–1 7.0%

Tonga at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Mali win / draw / Tonga win

Mali–Tonga

2–0 14.9%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Tonga
Current Elo	1709	1056
Elo rank	60th	198th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	569	68
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	746	81
Goals against	626	253
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mali and Tonga have never played each other.