Head to head

Mali vs Tahiti

If they played today

Mali at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Mali win / draw / Tahiti win

Mali–Tahiti

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Mali win / draw / Tahiti win

Mali–Tahiti

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Tahiti at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Mali win / draw / Tahiti win

Mali–Tahiti

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Tahiti
Current Elo	1709	1506
Elo rank	60th	109th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	569	242
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	746	657
Goals against	626	371
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mali and Tahiti have never played each other.