Head to head

Mali vs Sweden

If they played today

Mali at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Mali win / draw / Sweden win

Mali–Sweden

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 44%

Mali win / draw / Sweden win

Mali–Sweden

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.6%

Sweden at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Mali win / draw / Sweden win

Mali–Sweden

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.2%
1–0 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Sweden
Current Elo	1709	1797
Elo rank	60th	41st
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	569	1105
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	746	2178
Goals against	626	1431
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.52

When they've met

Mali and Sweden have never played each other.