Head to head

Mali vs Samoa

If they played today

Mali at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Mali win / draw / Samoa win

Mali–Samoa

2–0 15.5%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 8.0%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

75% / 17% / 9%

Mali win / draw / Samoa win

Mali–Samoa

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.6%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Samoa at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Mali win / draw / Samoa win

Mali–Samoa

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Samoa
Current Elo	1709	1216
Elo rank	60th	179th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	569	71
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	746	99
Goals against	626	249
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Mali and Samoa have never played each other.