Head to head

Mali vs Rwanda

If they played today

Mali at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Mali win / draw / Rwanda win

Mali–Rwanda

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

58% / 23% / 19%

Mali win / draw / Rwanda win

Mali–Rwanda

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Rwanda at home

50% / 25% / 25%

Mali win / draw / Rwanda win

Mali–Rwanda

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Rwanda
Current Elo	1709	1448
Elo rank	60th	128th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	569	280
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	746	289
Goals against	626	336
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.67	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Mali 3W 1D 0L

Goals

7–2

Mali first

First meeting

2–1

Mali won · 2013-03-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

3–0

Mali won · 2021-11-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Mali's biggest win

3–0

2021-11-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Mali · since 2013-03-24

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-11-11	3–0	Rwanda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-01	1–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-06-09	1–1	Mali home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-03-24	2–1	Rwanda home	FIFA World Cup qualification