Head to head

Mali vs Paraguay

If they played today

Mali at home

30% / 26% / 44%

Mali win / draw / Paraguay win

Mali–Paraguay

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Neutral venue

23% / 24% / 52%

Mali win / draw / Paraguay win

Mali–Paraguay

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Paraguay at home

18% / 22% / 60%

Mali win / draw / Paraguay win

Mali–Paraguay

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Paraguay
Current Elo	1709	1901
Elo rank	60th	23rd
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	569	788
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	746	1006
Goals against	626	1119
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.23

When they've met

Mali and Paraguay have never played each other.