Head to head

Mali vs Nigeria

If they played today

Mali at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Mali win / draw / Nigeria win

Mali–Nigeria

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

25% / 24% / 51%

Mali win / draw / Nigeria win

Mali–Nigeria

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.1%

Nigeria at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Mali win / draw / Nigeria win

Mali–Nigeria

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Nigeria
Current Elo	1709	1883
Elo rank	60th	26th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	569	661
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	746	1008
Goals against	626	662
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08
African Cup of Nations won	0	3
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.67	2.40

When they've met

Meetings

Mali 4W 3D 6L

Goals

15–20

Mali first

First meeting

3–2

Mali won · 1960-06-01 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Nigeria won · 2016-05-27 · Friendly

Mali's biggest win

4–1

1975-09-05 · Friendly

Nigeria's biggest win

4–1

2013-02-06 · African Cup of Nations

Most common result

0–0

Mali first · 3 times, last 2008-01-25

Current run

Unbeaten in 8

Nigeria · since 1978-07-14

13 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2016-05-27	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2013-02-06	1–4	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2008-01-25	0–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2004-02-13	1–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2002-02-09	0–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations
2002-01-24	0–0	Mali home	African Cup of Nations
1983-12-18	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
1978-07-14	1–3	Neutral	All-African Games
1975-09-05	4–1	Neutral	Friendly
1972-12-04	0–3	Nigeria home	Friendly
1972-11-22	2–1	Mali home	Friendly
1960-10-05	3–2	Nigeria home	Friendly
1960-06-01	3–2	Mali home	Friendly