Head to head

Mali vs Mozambique

If they played today

Mali at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Mali win / draw / Mozambique win

Mali–Mozambique

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Mali win / draw / Mozambique win

Mali–Mozambique

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Mozambique at home

46% / 25% / 29%

Mali win / draw / Mozambique win

Mali–Mozambique

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.0%
0–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Mali	Mozambique
Current Elo	1709	1495
Elo rank	60th	112th
Peak Elo	1773 (2024)	1576 (2025)
Matches played	569	375
All-time record	232W 151D 186L	118W 95D 162L
Goals for	746	387
Goals against	626	485
Biggest win	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.67	0.09

When they've met

Meetings

Mali 2W 1D 1L

Goals

4–3

Mali first

First meeting

2–1

Mali won · 1994-09-04 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

1–0

Mali won · 2024-11-15 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Mali's biggest win

2–1

1994-09-04 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Mozambique's biggest win

1–0

1995-04-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Mali · since 2024-09-06

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-11-15	1–0	Mozambique home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2024-09-06	1–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1995-04-09	0–1	Mozambique home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1994-09-04	2–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification