Head to head

Maldives vs Tajikistan

If they played today

Maldives at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Maldives win / draw / Tajikistan win

Maldives–Tajikistan

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Neutral venue

11% / 18% / 71%

Maldives win / draw / Tajikistan win

Maldives–Tajikistan

0–2 13.2%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.6%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Tajikistan at home

7% / 15% / 78%

Maldives win / draw / Tajikistan win

Maldives–Tajikistan

0–2 14.7%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.7%
1–2 8.5%
1–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Maldives	Tajikistan
Current Elo	997	1438
Elo rank	205th	136th
Peak Elo	1450 (1979)	1569 (1997)
Matches played	233	201
All-time record	63W 38D 132L	78W 43D 80L
Goals for	277	299
Goals against	526	278
Biggest win	12–0 vs Mongolia · 2003-12-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification	16–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–17 vs Iran · 1997-06-02 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–8 vs Japan · 2011-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
AFC Asian Cups won	0	0
Expected AFC Asian Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Maldives 0W 1D 4L

Goals

0–10

Maldives first

First meeting

0–3

Tajikistan won · 1998-12-01 · Asian Games

Most recent

0–3

Tajikistan won · 2025-10-14 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Maldives' biggest win

—

Never beaten Tajikistan

Tajikistan's biggest win

3–0

2025-10-14 · AFC Asian Cup qualification

Most common result

0–3

Maldives first · twice, last 2025-10-14

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Tajikistan · since 1998-12-01

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-14	0–3	Maldives home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
2025-10-09	0–2	Tajikistan home	AFC Asian Cup qualification
2015-03-26	0–2	Maldives home	Friendly
2011-03-25	0–0	Maldives home	AFC Challenge Cup qualification
1998-12-01	0–3	Neutral	Asian Games