Head to head

Maldives vs Samoa

If they played today

Maldives at home

28% / 25% / 46%

Maldives win / draw / Samoa win

Maldives–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 55%

Maldives win / draw / Samoa win

Maldives–Samoa

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.5%

Samoa at home

16% / 21% / 62%

Maldives win / draw / Samoa win

Maldives–Samoa

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Maldives	Samoa
Current Elo	997	1216
Elo rank	205th	179th
Peak Elo	1450 (1979)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	233	71
All-time record	63W 38D 132L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	277	99
Goals against	526	249
Biggest win	12–0 vs Mongolia · 2003-12-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–17 vs Iran · 1997-06-02 · FIFA World Cup qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Maldives and Samoa have never played each other.