Head to head

Malawi vs Wales

If they played today

Malawi at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Malawi win / draw / Wales win

Malawi–Wales

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.5%
1–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 61%

Malawi win / draw / Wales win

Malawi–Wales

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

Wales at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Malawi win / draw / Wales win

Malawi–Wales

0–2 12.6%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
0–3 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Wales
Current Elo	1438	1743
Elo rank	137th	52nd
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	644	726
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	753	910
Goals against	832	1160
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Malawi and Wales have never played each other.