Head to head

Malawi vs United States

If they played today

Malawi at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Malawi win / draw / United States win

Malawi–United States

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.0%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 69%

Malawi win / draw / United States win

Malawi–United States

0–2 12.6%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
0–3 8.9%

United States at home

8% / 16% / 75%

Malawi win / draw / United States win

Malawi–United States

0–2 14.1%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 10.9%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	United States
Current Elo	1438	1842
Elo rank	136th	34th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	644	795
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	753	1211
Goals against	832	1056
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Malawi and United States have never played each other.