Head to head

Malawi vs Tonga

If they played today

Malawi at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Malawi win / draw / Tonga win

Malawi–Tonga

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Malawi win / draw / Tonga win

Malawi–Tonga

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Tonga at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Malawi win / draw / Tonga win

Malawi–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Tonga
Current Elo	1438	1056
Elo rank	137th	198th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	644	68
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	753	81
Goals against	832	253
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Malawi and Tonga have never played each other.