Head to head

Malawi vs São Tomé and Príncipe

If they played today

Malawi at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Malawi win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Malawi–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

57% / 23% / 20%

Malawi win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Malawi–São Tomé and Príncipe

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

São Tomé and Príncipe at home

49% / 25% / 26%

Malawi win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Malawi–São Tomé and Príncipe

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.7%
0–1 7.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	São Tomé and Príncipe
Current Elo	1438	1182
Elo rank	136th	182nd
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1481 (1976)
Matches played	644	71
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	9W 10D 52L
Goals for	753	53
Goals against	832	182
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	3–1 vs Mauritius · 2019-10-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–10 vs Nigeria · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Malawi 1W 0D 1L

Goals

3–2

Malawi first

First meeting

3–1

Malawi won · 2024-06-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–1

São Tomé and Príncipe won · 2025-10-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Malawi's biggest win

3–1

2024-06-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

São Tomé and Príncipe's biggest win

1–0

2025-10-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

São Tomé and Príncipe · since 2025-10-13

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-13	0–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-06	3–1	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification