Head to head

Malawi vs Samoa

If they played today

Malawi at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Malawi win / draw / Samoa win

Malawi–Samoa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Malawi win / draw / Samoa win

Malawi–Samoa

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Malawi win / draw / Samoa win

Malawi–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Samoa
Current Elo	1438	1216
Elo rank	136th	179th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	644	71
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	753	99
Goals against	832	249
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Malawi and Samoa have never played each other.