Head to head

Malawi vs Rwanda

If they played today

Malawi at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Malawi win / draw / Rwanda win

Malawi–Rwanda

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

36% / 26% / 38%

Malawi win / draw / Rwanda win

Malawi–Rwanda

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.5%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.1%

Rwanda at home

29% / 25% / 46%

Malawi win / draw / Rwanda win

Malawi–Rwanda

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Rwanda
Current Elo	1438	1448
Elo rank	137th	128th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	644	280
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	753	289
Goals against	832	336
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.08	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Malawi 3W 2D 2L

Goals

8–7

Malawi first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1999-12-11 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Malawi won · 2013-08-14 · Friendly

Malawi's biggest win

2–0

2009-05-31 · Friendly

Rwanda's biggest win

2–0

2012-11-26 · CECAFA Cup

Most common result

1–1

Malawi first · twice, last 1999-12-13

Current run

Won the last meeting

Malawi · since 2013-08-14

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-08-14	1–0	Rwanda home	Friendly
2012-11-26	0–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2010-11-17	2–1	Malawi home	Friendly
2009-05-31	2–0	Malawi home	Friendly
1999-12-15	1–2	Malawi home	Friendly
1999-12-13	1–1	Malawi home	Friendly
1999-12-11	1–1	Malawi home	Friendly