Head to head

Malawi vs Paraguay

If they played today

Malawi at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Malawi win / draw / Paraguay win

Malawi–Paraguay

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.1%

Neutral venue

10% / 17% / 73%

Malawi win / draw / Paraguay win

Malawi–Paraguay

0–2 13.5%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 10.0%
1–2 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Paraguay at home

7% / 15% / 79%

Malawi win / draw / Paraguay win

Malawi–Paraguay

0–2 15.0%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.1%
1–2 8.2%
0–4 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Paraguay
Current Elo	1438	1901
Elo rank	137th	23rd
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	644	788
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	753	1006
Goals against	832	1119
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.23

When they've met

Malawi and Paraguay have never played each other.