Head to head

Malawi vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Malawi at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Malawi win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Malawi–Northern Ireland

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.3%
1–0 7.7%

Neutral venue

21% / 23% / 55%

Malawi win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Malawi–Northern Ireland

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Northern Ireland at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Malawi win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Malawi–Northern Ireland

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	1438	1667
Elo rank	137th	73rd
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	644	707
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	753	741
Goals against	832	1296
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04

When they've met

Malawi and Northern Ireland have never played each other.