Head to head

Malawi vs Nigeria

If they played today

Malawi at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Malawi win / draw / Nigeria win

Malawi–Nigeria

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.7%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.8%

Neutral venue

11% / 18% / 71%

Malawi win / draw / Nigeria win

Malawi–Nigeria

0–2 13.2%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.7%
1–2 9.4%
1–1 8.5%

Nigeria at home

7% / 15% / 78%

Malawi win / draw / Nigeria win

Malawi–Nigeria

0–2 14.8%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.8%
1–2 8.5%
1–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Nigeria
Current Elo	1438	1883
Elo rank	137th	26th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	644	661
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	753	1008
Goals against	832	662
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08
African Cup of Nations won	0	3
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.08	2.40

When they've met

Meetings

Malawi 0W 2D 6L

Goals

9–20

Malawi first

First meeting

2–3

Nigeria won · 1978-07-25 · All-African Games

Most recent

0–2

Nigeria won · 2013-09-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Malawi's biggest win

—

Never beaten Nigeria

Nigeria's biggest win

4–1

2003-06-07 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

1–4

Malawi first · twice, last 2003-06-07

Current run

Unbeaten in 8

Nigeria · since 1978-07-25

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-09-07	0–2	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2012-06-09	1–1	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-06-07	1–4	Nigeria home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2003-03-29	0–1	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2000-06-06	1–4	Nigeria home	Friendly
2000-06-04	2–3	Nigeria home	Friendly
1984-03-08	2–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1978-07-25	2–3	Neutral	All-African Games