Head to head

Malawi vs New Zealand

If they played today

Malawi at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Malawi win / draw / New Zealand win

Malawi–New Zealand

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 57%

Malawi win / draw / New Zealand win

Malawi–New Zealand

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

New Zealand at home

15% / 21% / 65%

Malawi win / draw / New Zealand win

Malawi–New Zealand

0–2 11.8%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
0–3 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	New Zealand
Current Elo	1438	1689
Elo rank	137th	68th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	644	419
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	753	733
Goals against	832	634
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Malawi and New Zealand have never played each other.