Head to head

Malawi vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Malawi at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Malawi win / draw / New Caledonia win

Malawi–New Caledonia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.8%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 49%

Malawi win / draw / New Caledonia win

Malawi–New Caledonia

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

New Caledonia at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Malawi win / draw / New Caledonia win

Malawi–New Caledonia

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1438	1591
Elo rank	137th	85th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	644	265
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	753	698
Goals against	832	369
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Malawi and New Caledonia have never played each other.