Head to head

Malawi vs Mexico

If they played today

Malawi at home

9% / 17% / 73%

Malawi win / draw / Mexico win

Malawi–Mexico

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

6% / 14% / 80%

Malawi win / draw / Mexico win

Malawi–Mexico

0–2 15.2%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.4%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.6%

Mexico at home

4% / 11% / 85%

Malawi win / draw / Mexico win

Malawi–Mexico

0–2 16.6%
0–3 14.7%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 9.7%
1–2 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Mexico
Current Elo	1438	2012
Elo rank	137th	12th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	644	1008
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	753	1777
Goals against	832	1057
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Malawi and Mexico have never played each other.