Head to head

Malawi vs Mali

If they played today

Malawi at home

25% / 25% / 51%

Malawi win / draw / Mali win

Malawi–Mali

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 59%

Malawi win / draw / Mali win

Malawi–Mali

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Mali at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Malawi win / draw / Mali win

Malawi–Mali

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Malawi	Mali
Current Elo	1438	1709
Elo rank	137th	60th
Peak Elo	1669 (1985)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	644	569
All-time record	219W 182D 243L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	753	746
Goals against	832	626
Biggest win	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.08	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Malawi 1W 1D 3L

Goals

5–8

Malawi first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1992-08-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

2–0

Malawi won · 2014-11-15 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Malawi's biggest win

2–0

2014-11-15 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Mali's biggest win

3–1

2010-01-18 · African Cup of Nations

Current run

Won the last meeting

Malawi · since 2014-11-15

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2014-11-15	2–0	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2014-09-07	0–2	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2010-01-18	1–3	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1993-07-11	1–2	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1992-08-29	1–1	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification