Head to head

Madagascar vs Zambia

If they played today

Madagascar at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Madagascar win / draw / Zambia win

Madagascar–Zambia

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.7%
1–2 7.5%

Neutral venue

34% / 26% / 40%

Madagascar win / draw / Zambia win

Madagascar–Zambia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 9.0%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.8%

Zambia at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Madagascar win / draw / Zambia win

Madagascar–Zambia

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	Zambia
Current Elo	1511	1551
Elo rank	108th	94th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	320	793
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	434	1234
Goals against	484	851
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	1.21

When they've met

Meetings

Madagascar 3W 2D 8L

Goals

11–20

Madagascar first

First meeting

0–3

Zambia won · 1966-07-05 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Zambia won · 2018-06-06 · COSAFA Cup

Madagascar's biggest win

2–0

1992-12-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Zambia's biggest win

3–0

1966-07-05 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Madagascar first · twice, last 2018-06-06

Current run

Won last 3

Zambia · since 2001-06-16

13 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-06-06	0–1	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
2008-08-03	0–2	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
2001-06-16	0–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2000-09-02	2–1	Zambia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1999-06-06	1–1	Zambia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1999-01-24	1–2	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1993-02-27	1–3	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-12-20	2–0	Madagascar home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1991-07-14	1–2	Zambia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1990-09-01	0–0	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1973-06-05	1–3	Zambia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1973-06-05	2–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1966-07-05	0–3	Neutral	Friendly