Head to head

Madagascar vs Tanzania

If they played today

Madagascar at home

52% / 24% / 23%

Madagascar win / draw / Tanzania win

Madagascar–Tanzania

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 30%

Madagascar win / draw / Tanzania win

Madagascar–Tanzania

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Tanzania at home

36% / 26% / 37%

Madagascar win / draw / Tanzania win

Madagascar–Tanzania

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.5%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	Tanzania
Current Elo	1511	1418
Elo rank	108th	144th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1560 (1982)
Matches played	320	599
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	163W 171D 265L
Goals for	434	660
Goals against	484	892
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	7–0 vs Somalia · 2012-12-01 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	1–10 vs Egypt · 1973-07-16 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.05

When they've met

Meetings

Madagascar 3W 4D 3L

Goals

11–11

Madagascar first

First meeting

0–1

Tanzania won · 1972-04-29 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2021-11-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

2–0

2015-05-20 · COSAFA Cup

Tanzania's biggest win

4–2

1979-07-29 · Friendly

Most common result

1–1

Madagascar first · twice, last 2021-11-14

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Tanzania · since 2021-09-07

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-11-14	1–1	Madagascar home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-07	2–3	Tanzania home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2015-05-20	2–0	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
1992-10-25	0–0	Tanzania home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1980-11-01	0–0	Tanzania home	Friendly
1980-06-22	1–1	Madagascar home	Friendly
1980-06-19	2–1	Madagascar home	Friendly
1979-08-01	1–0	Madagascar home	Friendly
1979-07-29	2–4	Madagascar home	Friendly
1972-04-29	0–1	Madagascar home	Friendly