Head to head

Madagascar vs New Zealand

If they played today

Madagascar at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Madagascar win / draw / New Zealand win

Madagascar–New Zealand

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Neutral venue

24% / 24% / 51%

Madagascar win / draw / New Zealand win

Madagascar–New Zealand

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

New Zealand at home

18% / 22% / 59%

Madagascar win / draw / New Zealand win

Madagascar–New Zealand

0–1 11.5%
1–1 10.6%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	New Zealand
Current Elo	1511	1689
Elo rank	108th	68th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	320	419
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	434	733
Goals against	484	634
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Madagascar and New Zealand have never played each other.