Head to head

Madagascar vs Mozambique

If they played today

Madagascar at home

46% / 25% / 28%

Madagascar win / draw / Mozambique win

Madagascar–Mozambique

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

38% / 26% / 36%

Madagascar win / draw / Mozambique win

Madagascar–Mozambique

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Mozambique at home

31% / 26% / 44%

Madagascar win / draw / Mozambique win

Madagascar–Mozambique

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	Mozambique
Current Elo	1511	1495
Elo rank	108th	112th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1576 (2025)
Matches played	320	375
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	118W 95D 162L
Goals for	434	387
Goals against	484	485
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.09

When they've met

Meetings

Madagascar 2W 1D 3L

Goals

8–10

Madagascar first

First meeting

0–2

Mozambique won · 2004-04-18 · COSAFA Cup

Most recent

2–1

Madagascar won · 2018-05-27 · COSAFA Cup

Madagascar's biggest win

4–1

2017-06-30 · COSAFA Cup

Mozambique's biggest win

3–0

2008-06-22 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won last 2

Madagascar · since 2017-06-30

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-05-27	2–1	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
2017-06-30	4–1	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
2008-07-30	1–2	Neutral	COSAFA Cup
2008-06-22	0–3	Mozambique home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2008-06-15	1–1	Madagascar home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-04-18	0–2	Mozambique home	COSAFA Cup