Head to head

Madagascar vs Mali

If they played today

Madagascar at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Madagascar win / draw / Mali win

Madagascar–Mali

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

23% / 24% / 53%

Madagascar win / draw / Mali win

Madagascar–Mali

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Mali at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Madagascar win / draw / Mali win

Madagascar–Mali

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	Mali
Current Elo	1511	1709
Elo rank	108th	60th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	320	569
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	434	746
Goals against	484	626
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Madagascar 0W 1D 2L

Goals

1–6

Madagascar first

First meeting

0–2

Mali won · 2003-04-27 · Friendly

Most recent

1–4

Mali won · 2025-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Mali's biggest win

4–1

2025-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Mali · since 2003-04-27

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-12	1–4	Mali home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-11	0–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-04-27	0–2	Neutral	Friendly