Head to head

Madagascar vs Malawi

If they played today

Madagascar at home

51% / 25% / 25%

Madagascar win / draw / Malawi win

Madagascar–Malawi

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Madagascar win / draw / Malawi win

Madagascar–Malawi

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
1–2 7.4%

Malawi at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Madagascar win / draw / Malawi win

Madagascar–Malawi

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Madagascar	Malawi
Current Elo	1511	1438
Elo rank	108th	137th
Peak Elo	1645 (1993)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	320	644
All-time record	118W 73D 129L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	434	753
Goals against	484	832
Biggest win	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Madagascar 3W 1D 2L

Goals

13–9

Madagascar first

First meeting

6–1

Madagascar won · 1966-07-09 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 1983-08-28 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

6–1

1966-07-09 · Friendly

Malawi's biggest win

5–1

1978-12-17 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Malawi · since 1978-12-17

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1983-08-28	1–1	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1983-08-14	0–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1978-12-17	1–5	Malawi home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1978-12-03	2–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1969-07-01	3–0	Madagascar home	Friendly
1966-07-09	6–1	Malawi home	Friendly