Head to head

Macau vs Samoa

If they played today

Macau at home

18% / 22% / 59%

Macau win / draw / Samoa win

Macau–Samoa

0–1 11.5%
1–1 10.6%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Neutral venue

13% / 20% / 67%

Macau win / draw / Samoa win

Macau–Samoa

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
0–3 8.4%

Samoa at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Macau win / draw / Samoa win

Macau–Samoa

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Macau	Samoa
Current Elo	838	1216
Elo rank	217th	179th
Peak Elo	1476 (1949)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	148	71
All-time record	21W 16D 111L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	114	99
Goals against	458	249
Biggest win	6–1 vs Northern Mariana Islands · 2009-03-11 · EAFF Championship	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–11 vs China · 1993-05-12 · East Asian Games	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Macau and Samoa have never played each other.