Head to head

Luxembourg vs Wales

If they played today

Luxembourg at home

25% / 25% / 51%

Luxembourg win / draw / Wales win

Luxembourg–Wales

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 59%

Luxembourg win / draw / Wales win

Luxembourg–Wales

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Wales at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Luxembourg win / draw / Wales win

Luxembourg–Wales

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Luxembourg	Wales
Current Elo	1470	1743
Elo rank	124th	52nd
Peak Elo	1567 (2023)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	467	726
All-time record	50W 63D 354L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	296	910
Goals against	1204	1160
Biggest win	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Luxembourg 0W 0D 6L

Goals

2–17

Luxembourg first

First meeting

0–5

Wales won · 1974-11-20 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most recent

1–5

Wales won · 2010-08-11 · Friendly

Luxembourg's biggest win

—

Never beaten Wales

Wales' biggest win

5–0

1974-11-20 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

0–1

Luxembourg first · twice, last 1991-11-13

Current run

Won last 6

Wales · since 1974-11-20

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-08-11	1–5	Wales home	Friendly
2008-03-26	0–2	Luxembourg home	Friendly
1991-11-13	0–1	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification
1990-11-14	0–1	Luxembourg home	UEFA Euro qualification
1975-05-01	1–3	Luxembourg home	UEFA Euro qualification
1974-11-20	0–5	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification