Head to head

Luxembourg vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Luxembourg at home

79% / 15% / 7%

Luxembourg win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Luxembourg–Sri Lanka

2–0 15.0%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.1%
2–1 8.3%
4–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Luxembourg win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Luxembourg–Sri Lanka

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.9%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.3%

Sri Lanka at home

65% / 20% / 14%

Luxembourg win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Luxembourg–Sri Lanka

2–0 11.9%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
3–0 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Luxembourg	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	1470	1011
Elo rank	124th	202nd
Peak Elo	1567 (2023)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	467	251
All-time record	50W 63D 354L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	296	237
Goals against	1204	576
Biggest win	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Luxembourg and Sri Lanka have never played each other.