Head to head

Luxembourg vs Rwanda

If they played today

Luxembourg at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Luxembourg win / draw / Rwanda win

Luxembourg–Rwanda

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

39% / 26% / 35%

Luxembourg win / draw / Rwanda win

Luxembourg–Rwanda

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Rwanda at home

31% / 26% / 43%

Luxembourg win / draw / Rwanda win

Luxembourg–Rwanda

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Luxembourg	Rwanda
Current Elo	1470	1448
Elo rank	124th	128th
Peak Elo	1567 (2023)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	467	280
All-time record	50W 63D 354L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	296	289
Goals against	1204	336
Biggest win	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Luxembourg and Rwanda have never played each other.