Head to head

Liberia vs Tonga

If they played today

Liberia at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Liberia win / draw / Tonga win

Liberia–Tonga

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Liberia win / draw / Tonga win

Liberia–Tonga

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.4%

Tonga at home

59% / 22% / 18%

Liberia win / draw / Tonga win

Liberia–Tonga

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Liberia	Tonga
Current Elo	1438	1056
Elo rank	138th	198th
Peak Elo	1629 (2001)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	302	68
All-time record	79W 70D 153L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	270	81
Goals against	445	253
Biggest win	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Liberia and Tonga have never played each other.