Head to head

Liberia vs Samoa

If they played today

Liberia at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Liberia win / draw / Samoa win

Liberia–Samoa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Liberia win / draw / Samoa win

Liberia–Samoa

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Samoa at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Liberia win / draw / Samoa win

Liberia–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Liberia	Samoa
Current Elo	1438	1216
Elo rank	138th	179th
Peak Elo	1629 (2001)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	302	71
All-time record	79W 70D 153L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	270	99
Goals against	445	249
Biggest win	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Liberia and Samoa have never played each other.