Head to head

Liberia vs Mali

If they played today

Liberia at home

25% / 25% / 51%

Liberia win / draw / Mali win

Liberia–Mali

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 59%

Liberia win / draw / Mali win

Liberia–Mali

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Mali at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Liberia win / draw / Mali win

Liberia–Mali

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Liberia	Mali
Current Elo	1438	1709
Elo rank	138th	60th
Peak Elo	1629 (2001)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	302	569
All-time record	79W 70D 153L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	270	746
Goals against	445	626
Biggest win	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.05	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Liberia 2W 4D 6L

Goals

12–22

Liberia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 1980-10-25 · Friendly

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2011-10-08 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Liberia's biggest win

3–2

1995-05-25 · Friendly

Mali's biggest win

4–1

2005-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

2–2

Liberia first · twice, last 2011-10-08

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Mali · since 2005-06-05

12 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2011-10-08	2–2	Liberia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2010-10-09	1–2	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2005-06-05	1–4	Mali home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-06-06	1–0	Liberia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2002-01-19	1–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations
2001-04-08	0–3	Mali home	Friendly
1995-05-25	3–2	Neutral	Friendly
1988-10-16	0–3	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1988-10-02	0–1	Liberia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1984-02-05	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
1984-01-31	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
1980-10-25	1–1	Liberia home	Friendly