Head to head

Liberia vs Malawi

If they played today

Liberia at home

45% / 26% / 30%

Liberia win / draw / Malawi win

Liberia–Malawi

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 37%

Liberia win / draw / Malawi win

Liberia–Malawi

1–1 12.6%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.7%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.2%

Malawi at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Liberia win / draw / Malawi win

Liberia–Malawi

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Liberia	Malawi
Current Elo	1438	1438
Elo rank	138th	137th
Peak Elo	1629 (2001)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	302	644
All-time record	79W 70D 153L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	270	753
Goals against	445	832
Biggest win	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.05	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Liberia 2W 2D 1L

Goals

4–3

Liberia first

First meeting

1–0

Liberia won · 1989-06-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2025-09-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Liberia's biggest win

1–0

2012-09-04 · Friendly

Malawi's biggest win

1–0

2023-11-17 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–0

Liberia first · twice, last 2012-09-04

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Malawi · since 2023-11-17

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-08	2–2	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-11-17	0–1	Liberia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2012-09-04	1–0	Liberia home	Friendly
1989-08-26	0–0	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1989-06-11	1–0	Liberia home	FIFA World Cup qualification