Head to head

Lesotho vs Tonga

If they played today

Lesotho at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Lesotho win / draw / Tonga win

Lesotho–Tonga

2–0 13.5%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 10.0%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.3%

Neutral venue

66% / 20% / 14%

Lesotho win / draw / Tonga win

Lesotho–Tonga

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.1%

Tonga at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Lesotho win / draw / Tonga win

Lesotho–Tonga

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Lesotho	Tonga
Current Elo	1419	1056
Elo rank	143rd	198th
Peak Elo	1509 (1970)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	296	68
All-time record	54W 94D 148L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	230	81
Goals against	466	253
Biggest win	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Lesotho and Tonga have never played each other.